Paul Moerler
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose · Classic Constructed
8-8
Record
50.0%
Win %
3
Events
16
Rounds
69%
Meta
-1.1
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • October 4th-5th, 2025 • dropped • 4-3
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nikolai Goldmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Heidorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Erik Klinger (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Kassai of the Golden Sand)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
National Championship • June 21st-22nd, 2025 • dropped • 1-2
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philipp Steinfort (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Lambrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Battle Hardened • March 23, 2025 • dropped • 3-3
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs sylvain verdet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Doroschewski Christoph (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kerwin Holtslag (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Kassai of the Golden Sand | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Arakni, Marionette | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Dorinthea Ironsong | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Fang, Dracai of Blades | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Jarl Vetreiði | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |