
Paul Moerler
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence · Classic Constructed
4-3
Record
57.1%
Win %
1
Events
7
Rounds
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
National Championship • July 4th-5th, 2026 • 22nd • 4-3
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
Round 1: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
Fang, Dracai of Blades | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Jarl Vetreiði | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Puffin, Hightail | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |