Michiel Vonck — Aurora, Shooting Star
Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
3-4-1
Record
37.5%
Win %
1
Events
8
Rounds
75%
Meta
-1.7
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Battle Hardened • March 23, 2025 • 59th • 3-4-1
75%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
Round 1: Draw vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bram Hast (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eyüp Vroegop (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oliver Schindler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Denis Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Antoine Trannoy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eugenio Assenzi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Draw |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 85% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Dorinthea Ironsong | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 |
| Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |