Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Showdown • July 19th, 2026 • 48th • 6-4
90%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Sarah Yarberry (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
20:80
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Enigma)
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
70:30
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Douglas (Blaze, Firemind)
70:30
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Bravo, Flattering Showman)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Cumming (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Briar)
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
70:30
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Bravo, Flattering Showman)
50:50
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Briar)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Blaze, Firemind | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Blaze, Firemind | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dash | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
Showdown • July 12th, 2026 • 9th • 5-2
86%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
Round 1: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Oldhim) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Kuan Li (Dromai)
65:35
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs レオン 藤倉 (Dromai)
65:35
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Dromai)
70:30
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Bravo, Flattering Showman)
Round 7: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai | 65% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dromai | 3 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 4 |
| Bravo, Flattering Showman | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
| Blaze, Firemind | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Briar | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Dash | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Aurora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Enigma | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Lexi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Oldhim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |