Xander Toepfer — Aurora, Shooting Star
Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
8-6
Record
57.1%
Win %
2
Events
14
Rounds
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Battle Hardened • February 2, 2025 • 10th • 5-2
86%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ashton Dorsey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rich Pauls (Viserai, Rune Blood)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alain Arduain (Viserai, Rune Blood)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
Round 5: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
Calling • January 31-February 1, 2025 • dropped • 3-4
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Fields (Viserai, Rune Blood)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bill Early (Fang, Dracai of Blades)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viserai, Rune Blood | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
| Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Arakni, Marionette | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Fang, Dracai of Blades | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 | |
| Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |