Matthew Brown — Arakni, Marionette

Matthew Brown

Arakni, Marionette · Classic Constructed

20-15

Record

57.1%

Win %

Events

Rounds

77%

Meta

+1.5

Perf Δ

17.2

Surprise

8.3

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Edinburgh 2026

Calling • July 25th-26th, 2026 • 25th • 7-4

82%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathan Rhoden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Spencer Baker (Zyggy Starlight)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Jarl Vetreiði)

80:20

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Matthew Sandford (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Richard Carr (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.34
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.22
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.44
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.59
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.29
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Calling: Las Vegas 2026

Calling • July 18th-19th, 2026 • dropped • 5-3

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Justin Irby (Dash I/O)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kenjy Jap (Arakni, Huntsman)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Casey Schaffer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dylon Shiao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Jarl Vetreiði)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.11
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.80
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026

Pro Tour • July 17th-19th, 2026 • dropped • 3-2

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Henry Gomez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.21
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.48
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.25

Calling: Toulouse 2026

Calling • March 7th-8th, 2026 • dropped • 1-3

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Léo Masson (Arakni, Huntsman)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Battle Hardened: Edinburgh 2025

Battle Hardened • November 8th, 2025 • dropped • 4-3

71%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Isaac Tunstall (Katsu, the Wanderer)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jamie McCabe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David Calf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.08
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.63
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	2	5	29%	7
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	3	2	60%	5
Jarl Vetreiði	2	1	67%	3
Arakni, Huntsman	1	1	50%	2
Dash I/O	1	1	50%	2
Katsu, the Wanderer	1	1	50%	2
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	0	1	0%	1
Arakni, Marionette	1	0	100%	1
Bravo, Showstopper	1	0	100%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	0	100%	1
Fang, Dracai of Blades	0	1	0%	1
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	1	0	100%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	1	0	100%	1
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	0	1	0%	1
Uzuri, Switchblade	1	0	100%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	0	100%	1
Zyggy Starlight	1	0	100%	1