Joel Guzman — Aurora, Shooting Star

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
9-10-1
Record
45.0%
Win %
3
Events
20
Rounds
90%
Meta
-1.9
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Battle Hardened • March 16, 2025 • 50th • 3-4
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
Calling • March 15-16, 2025 • dropped • 3-3
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
Battle Hardened • March 8, 2025 • 37th • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
Round 3: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 5: Draw vs Yu Zhang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Draw |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aurora, Shooting Star | 2 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 4 |
Nuu, Alluring Desire | 2 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 4 |
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Dorinthea Ironsong | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Fai, Rising Rebellion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Kassai of the Golden Sand | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 |
Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |