Neil Bautista — Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Neil Bautista

Azalea, Ace in the Hole · Classic Constructed

14-16

Record

46.7%

Win %

Events

Rounds

47%

Meta

+0.3

Perf Δ

14.0

Surprise

8.1

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

National Championship 2025 - Philippines

National Championship • July 5th-6th, 2025 • dropped • 1-2

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Raymond Baligaya (Katsu, the Wanderer)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rayvie Anthony Pecajas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49

Battle Hardened: Kobe 2025

Battle Hardened • March 16, 2025 • dropped • 0-2

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Calling: Kobe 2025

Calling • March 15-16, 2025 • dropped • 4-3

43%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Oh Oh (Aurora, Shooting Star)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Aurora, Shooting Star)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.91
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Calling: Osaka

Calling • November 2-3, 2024 • dropped • 2-3

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jerry Kaonang (Aurora, Shooting Star)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jack Haywood (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.33
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.75
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Calling: Manila

Calling • August 17-18, 2024 • dropped • 4-3

43%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aldrin Paul Arugay (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Allen Lau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mark Angelo Gonzales (Dorinthea Ironsong)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.68
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.54
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Calling: Los Angeles

Calling • March 21-24, 2024 • dropped • 3-3

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Keating (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sean Brame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Raj Giri (Dromai, Ash Artist)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Adam Roark (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.15
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.96
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Aurora, Shooting Star	1	3	25%	4
Dorinthea Ironsong	3	1	75%	4
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	3	25%	4
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	1	1	50%	2
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	2	0	100%	2
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	0	1	0%	1
Betsy, Skin in the Game	0	1	0%	1
Dromai, Ash Artist	1	0	100%	1
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	1	0	100%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	0	100%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	0	1	0%	1
Nuu, Alluring Desire	0	1	0%	1
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	1	0	100%	1
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	1	0	100%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	0	1	0%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	0	1	0%	1
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	0	1	0%	1