Amanda Sullender — Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Amanda Sullender

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger · Classic Constructed

9-12

Record

42.9%

Win %

Events

Rounds

86%

Meta

-2.8

Perf Δ

9.3

Surprise

3.7

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Battle Hardened: Las Vegas 2025

Battle Hardened • June 8th, 2025 • dropped • 0-2

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Muus (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

US National Championship 2025

National Championship • June 6th-8th, 2025 • 99th • 5-4

89%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael McDowell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alyssa Carden (Arakni, Marionette)

75:25

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Matthew Boudreaux (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

15:85

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.04
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.12
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.35
R12	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.52
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.95
R14	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R15	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-

Calling: Memphis 2025 [A] Classic Constructed

Calling • January 31-February 1, 2025 • dropped • 1-3

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Long (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.13
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed

Calling • November 23-24, 2024 • dropped • 3-3

67%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cory Parker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hudson Davis (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Groat (Aurora, Shooting Star)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Phillip Stephenson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	2	2	50%	4
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	1	1	50%	2
Aurora, Shooting Star	0	2	0%	2
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	2	0	100%	2
Nuu, Alluring Desire	1	1	50%	2
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	2	0	100%	2
Arakni, Marionette	1	0	100%	1
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	0	1	0%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	0	1	0%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	0	1	0%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	0	1	0%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	0	1	0%	1
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	0	1	0%	1