Natalie Birch — Vynnset, Iron Maiden
Vynnset, Iron Maiden · Classic Constructed
8-12
Record
40.0%
Win %
3
Events
20
Rounds
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Battle Hardened • February 8, 2025 • 47th • 3-4
14%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
Round 1: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Galleran (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Breithaupt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Kim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Axton Amentler (Viserai, Rune Blood)
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christian Scandariato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
Battle Hardened • February 2, 2025 • dropped • 2-4
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Epermanis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Acklin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Makowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
Calling • January 31-February 1, 2025 • dropped • 3-4
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Bernal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Harmony Meade (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round 3: Win vs Dan Mui (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Geoff Walter (Viserai, Rune Blood)
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
Round 7: Loss vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 3 |
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Nuu, Alluring Desire | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Viserai, Rune Blood | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Fang, Dracai of Blades | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |