Carlo Ople — Aurora, Shooting Star

Carlo Ople

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed

22-7

Record

75.9%

Win %

Events

Rounds

90%

Meta

+6.0

Perf Δ

12.8

Surprise

8.7

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 Battle Hardened Taipei Taiwan '25 Top 8 Battle Hardened Bangkok Thailand '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Battle Hardened: Taipei

Battle Hardened • March 8, 2025 • 3rd • 7-2

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Redc Chen (Unknown)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kieran Moon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs CYK Lionel (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs tim Lin (Unknown)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs YuDi Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs YuDi Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs GAO ZHI-PENG (Aurora, Shooting Star)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.18
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.52
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.59
R9	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025

Battle Hardened • February 1, 2025 • 5th • 7-1

62%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pattharawit Srisuphasun (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Yusi (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Natthapon Kamhaenghan (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Natchanon kamhanghan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs chayut langthong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.17
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.16
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.11
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.62
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

4th Jan Mox Saga Battle Hardened Hong Kong 2025

Battle Hardened • January 4, 2025 • 10th • 5-2

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kelvin Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Yau (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pang Chan (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Colin Li (Unknown)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Joel Guzman (Viserai, Rune Blood)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.07
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

World Championship: Osaka

World Championship • November 1-3, 2024 • dropped • 3-2

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dawid Dominiak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Lim (Dash I/O)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.28
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Unknown	4	1	80%	5
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	4	0	100%	4
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	3	0	100%	3
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	2	1	67%	3
Aurora, Shooting Star	0	2	0%	2
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	2	0	100%	2
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	2	0	100%	2
Nuu, Alluring Desire	1	1	50%	2
Dash I/O	0	1	0%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	1	0	100%	1
Jarl Vetreiði	1	0	100%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	0	1	0%	1
Viserai, Rune Blood	1	0	100%	1