Risa Shioji — Aurora, Shooting Star
Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
16-17-2
Record
45.7%
Win %
5
Events
35
Rounds
86%
Meta
-2.5
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Frederik Emil Hansen (Aurora, Shooting Star)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Draw |
Battle Hardened • March 16, 2025 • 34th • 4-3
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Aurora, Shooting Star)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joel Guzman (Aurora, Shooting Star)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
Calling • March 15-16, 2025 • dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kazuaki Fujimoto (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
Round 2: Win vs yuki ideue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs shota kajiro (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Katsuya Hirai (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs タカヤ スギモト (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs syun suzuki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs tada hidenobu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
Calling • December 7-8, 2024 • 43rd • 7-5
92%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnny Khong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yugo Endo (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xie Hang Yeo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Uzuri, Switchblade)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
Round 8: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Colin Tang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nicholas Ong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
Calling • November 2-3, 2024 • dropped • 1-3
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
Round 4: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 3 | 7 | 0 | 30% | 10 |
| Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 1 | 2 | 1 | 25% | 4 |
| Nuu, Alluring Desire | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 4 |
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Dorinthea Ironsong | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Jarl Vetreiði | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Uzuri, Switchblade | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |