Bun Ar

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed

18-9-1

Record

64.3%

Win %

Events

Rounds

86%

Meta

+3.5

Perf Δ

13.8

Surprise

9.0

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 Battle Hardened Kobe Japan '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: London

Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 6-3

78%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Erik Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs George Keys (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Hugo Platret (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs David Wadley (Aurora, Shooting Star)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Aurora, Shooting Star)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.15
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.55
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.68
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R9	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Pro Tour: London

Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 2-3

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raj Parikh (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Edison Yue (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Fred God (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Aurora, Shooting Star)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.82
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Battle Hardened: Kobe 2025

Battle Hardened • March 16, 2025 • 5th • 7-1

75%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Marionette)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryouhei Ishimura (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs yutaro yamada (Aurora, Shooting Star)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.07
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.17
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.02
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Calling: Kobe 2025

Calling • March 15-16, 2025 • dropped • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tomohisa OBASE (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs FUNG CC (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Draw vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.15
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.36
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Draw	✓	0.54	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	D	Win%	Matches
Aurora, Shooting Star	4	3	0	57%	7
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	2	1	0	67%	3
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	1	1	33%	3
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	2	0	0	100%	2
Nuu, Alluring Desire	1	1	0	50%	2
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	1	0	50%	2
Arakni, Marionette	1	0	0	100%	1
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	0	1	0	0%	1
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	0	0	100%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	1	0	0	100%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	0	1	0	0%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	0	100%	1
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	1	0	0	100%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	1	0	0	100%	1
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	1	0	0	100%	1