Lucas Dutailly — Arakni, Marionette

Lucas Dutailly

Arakni, Marionette · Classic Constructed

18-10

Record

64.3%

Win %

Events

Rounds

79%

Meta

+3.0

Perf Δ

13.8

Surprise

12.7

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

National Championship 2026 - France

National Championship • June 27th, 2026 • 17th • 6-1

57%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

4.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Florian Bouteyron (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Lebec (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs enzo costa (Katsu, the Wanderer)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Vincent Degrandis (Arakni, Huntsman)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Maxence Gobert (Jarl Vetreiði)

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ludovic Zgajner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.33
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.18
R10	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.88

Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026

Pro Tour • April 10th-12th, 2026 • 52nd • 7-2

89%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.7

Surp

5.9

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fredrick Gamble (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Arakni, Marionette)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.64
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.54
R14	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R15	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.66

Calling: Toulouse 2026

Calling • March 7th-8th, 2026 • dropped • 2-3

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Antoine Le Bras (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Leonardo Giuliano (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Frédérick Cognard (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ewan Dajnak (Dash I/O)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.30
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Battle Hardened: Charleroi 2026

Battle Hardened • January 24th, 2026 • 38th • 3-4

86%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Luis Oliveira (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs boris froidville (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.44
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Arakni, Marionette	5	0	100%	5
Kassai of the Golden Sand	2	1	67%	3
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	0	3	0%	3
Dash I/O	1	1	50%	2
Fai, Rising Rebellion	1	1	50%	2
Jarl Vetreiði	1	1	50%	2
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	1	50%	2
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	2	0	100%	2
Arakni, Huntsman	1	0	100%	1
Fang, Dracai of Blades	0	1	0%	1
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	0	1	0%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	1	0	100%	1
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	1	0	100%	1
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	1	0	100%	1