Zac Bailey — Aurora, Shooting Star
Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
3-5
Record
37.5%
Win %
1
Events
8
Rounds
62%
Meta
-1.3
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Battle Hardened • March 8, 2025 • 83rd • 3-5
62%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Smith (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cody Blackmore (Jarl Vetreiði)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
Round 4: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cody Schellhaas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dustin Harris (Kano, Dracai of Aether)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cody Barnette (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Jarl Vetreiði | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Kano, Dracai of Aether | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 | |
 Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |