Lucas Mainhart — Dorinthea Ironsong

Lucas Mainhart

Dorinthea Ironsong · Classic Constructed

1-9

Record

10.0%

Win %

Events

Rounds

30%

Meta

-3.4

Perf Δ

4.5

Surprise

0.6

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Memphis 2026

Calling • March 21st-22nd, 2026 • dropped • 0-3

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Presley (Arakni, Huntsman)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Windham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Calling: Las Vegas

Calling • August 26-27, 2023 • dropped • 0-3

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jarik Caisse (Lexi, Livewire)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs James Wray (Iyslander, Stormbind)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Briggs (Bravo, Showstopper)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

United States National Championship

National Championship • August 25-27, 2023 • dropped • 1-3

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Bravo, Showstopper)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jason Nakata (Lexi, Livewire)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Caplinger (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Sitrick (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Bravo, Showstopper	0	2	0%	2
Lexi, Livewire	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, Huntsman	0	1	0%	1
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	0	1	0%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	0	1	0%	1
Iyslander, Stormbind	0	1	0%	1
Jarl Vetreiði	0	1	0%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	0	1	0%	1