Zack Covington — Fai, Rising Rebellion
Fai, Rising Rebellion · Classic Constructed
5-6
Record
45.5%
Win %
2
Events
11
Rounds
82%
Meta
-0.8
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • August 26-27, 2023 • dropped • 4-3
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brad Betschart (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Miller (Dromai, Ash Artist)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bill Early (Dromai, Ash Artist)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Chambers (Dromai, Ash Artist)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Bravo, Showstopper)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Abarca (Fai, Rising Rebellion)
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
National Championship • August 25-27, 2023 • dropped • 1-3
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andy truong (Fai, Rising Rebellion)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Iyslander, Stormbind)
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs christian gilbert (Dorinthea Ironsong)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dromai, Ash Artist | 3 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 4 |
| Fai, Rising Rebellion | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Bravo, Showstopper | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Dorinthea Ironsong | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Iyslander, Stormbind | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Lexi, Livewire | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |