Axel Gay — Oldhim
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Showdown • February 8th, 2026 • dropped • 3-4
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
85:15
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Lukaschek (Lexi)
Round 2: Loss vs Phil Mead (Briar) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
35:65
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu)
100:0
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Pietro Gerletti (Riptide)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs André Kofmel (Bravo, Flattering Showman)
40:60
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Robert Mueller (Rhinar)
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Christofzik (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide | 100% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo | 70% | Loss |
Calling • February 7th-8th, 2026 • dropped • 5-4
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
70:30
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Salina Vaes (Kayo)
80:20
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Briar)
Round 3: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Terra)
15:85
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kano)
80:20
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Briar)
85:15
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Tov Hanssen (Lexi)
40:60
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar)
80:20
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Briar)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Valda Brightaxe | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Terra | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar | 80% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 4 |
| Kayo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Lexi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Rhinar | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Bravo, Flattering Showman | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Kano | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Nuu | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Riptide | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Terra | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Valda Brightaxe | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |