simon diaz — Aurora, Shooting Star

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
12-7
Record
63.2%
Win %
2
Events
19
Rounds
95%
Meta
+1.7
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • 56th • 9-5
93%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
Round 1: Win vs Michael Bone (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 3-2
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 6 | 1 | 0 | 86% | 7 |
Aurora, Shooting Star | 2 | 3 | 0 | 40% | 5 |
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 3 |
Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Dash I/O | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Jarl Vetreiði | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |