Grégory Lefebvre — Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Grégory Lefebvre

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence · Classic Constructed

16-15

Record

51.6%

Win %

Events

Rounds

52%

Meta

+1.1

Perf Δ

14.6

Surprise

10.1

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Valencia 2025

Calling • November 29th-30th, 2025 • dropped • 4-3

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Carl Boyle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alkis Sejati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Emanuele Damiani (Arakni, Marionette)

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.45
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-

National Championship 2025 - France

National Championship • June 28th-29th, 2025 • 32nd • 4-2

33%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thibaut BONNEL (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter)

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Karl Cleuziou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ulysse Bousquet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.21
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.21
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.94
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.59	2.58

Calling: Bologna 2025

Calling • June 14th-15th, 2025 • dropped • 2-3

40%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Francesco Zampieri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Davide Ricci (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.26
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.38
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Battle Hardened Barcelona 2025 - L'H City - El Tesoro del Dragon Blanco

Battle Hardened • February 8, 2025 • dropped • 2-4

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jasan araury Romero Gómez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Antoine Pech (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Aurélien Huc (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Calling: Lyon

Calling • September 28-29, 2024 • dropped • 4-3

43%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Corentin Ruis (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Takis Pavlou (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nathanaël frederic (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Arthur Brunoni (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Denis Müller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.36
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.45
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.08
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	3	25%	4
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	3	1	75%	4
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	2	1	67%	3
Prism, Awakener of Sol	0	3	0%	3
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	2	1	67%	3
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	1	1	50%	2
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	1	1	50%	2
Kano, Dracai of Aether	2	0	100%	2
Arakni, Marionette	1	0	100%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	0	1	0%	1
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	0	1	0%	1
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	1	0	100%	1
Nuu, Alluring Desire	0	1	0%	1
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	1	0	100%	1
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	1	0	100%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	0	1	0%	1