Aidan Ward — Arakni, Marionette

Aidan Ward

Arakni, Marionette · Classic Constructed

11-10

Record

52.4%

Win %

Events

Rounds

52%

Meta

+0.3

Perf Δ

10.4

Surprise

8.8

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Singapore 2025

Calling • July 19th-20th, 2025 • dropped • 4-4

38%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew W (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mervyn Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs William Bradshaw (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Max Löhe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.76
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.99
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

National Championship 2025 - Australia

National Championship • July 5th-6th, 2025 • 22nd • 3-3

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

3.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rusling (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vinh Luong (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Tom Debney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Beckett McNeil (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.30
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.66
R12	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.39

Calling: Christchurch 2025

Calling • February 8-9, 2025 • dropped • 4-3

57%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Elijah Hewlett (Viserai, Rune Blood)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Will Evans (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Falconer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Josh Vaiese (Dorinthea Ironsong)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tim Wolffenbuttel (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jay Haskett (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.48
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.99
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	3	1	75%	4
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	0	2	0%	2
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	1	50%	2
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	0	2	0%	2
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	0	2	0%	2
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	0	100%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	1	0	100%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	1	0	100%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	1	0	100%	1
Unknown	1	0	100%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	0	1	0%	1
Viserai, Rune Blood	0	1	0%	1