Philip van Donselaar — Aurora, Shooting Star

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
16-14
Record
53.3%
Win %
5
Events
30
Rounds
83%
Meta
-0.0
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 3-3
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
Round 3: Win vs Connor Hetherington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 2-3
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
Battle Hardened • March 23, 2025 • 28th • 5-3
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
Round 6: Win vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
World Championship • November 1-3, 2024 • dropped • 3-2
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
Calling • September 28-29, 2024 • dropped • 3-3
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
Round 1: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aurora, Shooting Star | 2 | 3 | 0 | 40% | 5 |
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 2 | 3 | 0 | 40% | 5 |
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 3 |
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
Jarl Vetreiði | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
Nuu, Alluring Desire | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
Arakni, Marionette | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Dash I/O | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Prism, Awakener of Sol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |