Keita Arai — Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose · Classic Constructed
12-10
Record
54.5%
Win %
2
Events
22
Rounds
64%
Meta
-0.0
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • January 10th-11th, 2026 • 35th • 8-4
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Dorinthea Ironsong)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Dash I/O)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 佑紀 丸田 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)
Round 10: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
National Championship • July 5th-6th, 2025 • dropped • 4-6
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 根本 正尭 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)
Round 8: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 1 | 4 | 0 | 20% | 5 |
| Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 4 |
| Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
| Dash I/O | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Dorinthea Ironsong | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Fang, Dracai of Blades | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |