Thibaut BONNEL — Aurora, Shooting Star
Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
3-4
Record
42.9%
Win %
1
Events
7
Rounds
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Battle Hardened • February 8, 2025 • 62nd • 3-4
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pierre Roux (Kassai of the Golden Sand)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Quentin Castillo (Dorinthea Ironsong)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benoit Carrara (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round 6: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Raymond Mauge (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
 Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Dorinthea Ironsong | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Kassai of the Golden Sand | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |