Sebastian Spicher

Kano · Silver Age

16-12

Record

57.1%

Win %

Events

Rounds

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf Δ

13.3

Surprise

9.5

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Sunday Showdown: Prague 2026

Showdown • May 25th, 2026 • dropped • 4-2

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Melvin Lemke-Detlefsen (Iyslander)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs João Mariz (Briar)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Iyslander)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Kruft (Terra) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.62
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.70
R6	Silver Age	Terra	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Sunday Showdown: Yokohama 2026

Showdown • April 12th, 2026 • 97th • 4-6

30%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Ira, Crimson Haze)

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Rath (Oldhim)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alissa Ellingson (Dromai)

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Oldhim) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Michael Postle (Kayo)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo)

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Willem Van Den Broek (Fai)

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Robert Piper (Kayo)

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Ira, Crimson Haze)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.04
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Loss	✓	0.87	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.91
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026

Pro Tour • April 10th-12th, 2026 • dropped • 2-1

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

90:10

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Florian)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Fai)

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Ira, Crimson Haze)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.36
R7	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	2.66
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Showdown: London 2026

Showdown • February 8th, 2026 • 50th • 6-3

78%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Georg Sossnowetz (Iyslander)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs James Earle (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Davide Quaglio (Dorinthea)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs René Schep (Briar)

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Iyslander)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tom Ward (Fai)

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Fai)

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Marc Bonnet (Briar)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.41
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.89
R8	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Fai	3	1	75%	4
Ira, Crimson Haze	0	4	0%	4
Iyslander	2	2	50%	4
Kayo	2	2	50%	4
Briar	3	0	100%	3
Oldhim	1	1	50%	2
Bravo, Flattering Showman	0	1	0%	1
Dorinthea	1	0	100%	1
Dromai	1	0	100%	1
Florian	1	0	100%	1
Terra	0	1	0%	1
Unknown	1	0	100%	1
Zen	1	0	100%	1