Sebastian Spicher — Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose · Classic Constructed
35-21
Record
62.5%
Win %
6
Events
56
Rounds
41%
Meta
+9.5
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • March 7th-8th, 2026 • 9th • 9-3
67%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
Round 1: Win vs Adrien Saussey (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 9: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 10: Win vs Clément Maillet (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
Calling • November 29th-30th, 2025 • 67th • 7-5
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
Round 10: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
Calling • June 14th-15th, 2025 • dropped • 0-3
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • 113th • 5-4
33%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 15: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
Battle Hardened • November 30, 2024 • 30th • 4-3
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
Round 7: Win vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
Calling • September 28-29, 2024 • 5th • 10-3
31%
Meta
+4.5
Perf
Round 2: Win vs Olivier HENRY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 10: Win vs Loïc Hervé (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 12: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aurora, Shooting Star | 5 | 4 | 0 | 56% | 9 |
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 3 | 2 | 0 | 60% | 5 |
Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
Dash I/O | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 3 |
Kano, Dracai of Aether | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 3 |
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
Arakni, Marionette | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
Dorinthea Ironsong | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
Viserai, Rune Blood | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Arakni, Huntsman | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Jarl Vetreiði | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Kassai of the Golden Sand | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Nuu, Alluring Desire | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Prism, Awakener of Sol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Puffin, Hightail | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |