Thomas Dowling — Aurora, Shooting Star
Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
6-6
Record
50.0%
Win %
2
Events
12
Rounds
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 4-3
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Fjell (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round 5: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christos Zisimos (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Jarl Vetreiði)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 2-3
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
Round 3: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Aurora, Shooting Star)
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 85% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Dash I/O | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Jarl Vetreiði | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |