Victor Mercado — Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Victor Mercado

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence · Classic Constructed

15-12

Record

55.6%

Win %

Events

Rounds

70%

Meta

+0.7

Perf Δ

13.5

Surprise

8.2

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Las Vegas 2026

Calling • July 18th-19th, 2026 • dropped • 3-4

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryan McIntyre (Arakni, Marionette)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.51
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026

Pro Tour • July 17th-19th, 2026 • dropped • 3-2

40%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Huntsman)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.73
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.22

National Championship 2026 - Canada

National Championship • July 4th-5th, 2026 • dropped • 3-3

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Kennedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Devon Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.10
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.47
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.03
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026

Pro Tour • April 10th-12th, 2026 • 73rd • 6-3

78%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Josue Murillo Leon (Katsu, the Wanderer)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shawn Tjong (Arakni, Marionette)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

80:20

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate)

70:30

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.24
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.58
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.53
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.47
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Arakni, Marionette	2	3	40%	5
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	2	2	50%	4
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	1	2	33%	3
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	1	50%	2
Dash I/O	1	1	50%	2
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, Huntsman	1	0	100%	1
Betsy, Skin in the Game	1	0	100%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	0	1	0%	1
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	1	0	100%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	0	1	0%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	1	0	100%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	1	0	100%	1