Ian Carrico — Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

Ian Carrico

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination · Classic Constructed

12-11

Record

52.2%

Win %

Events

Rounds

74%

Meta

+0.7

Perf Δ

11.5

Surprise

8.8

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Los Angeles

Calling • March 21-24, 2024 • dropped • 5-3

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jesus Cuevas (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Catherine Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.53	0.13
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.28
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.64

Pro Tour: Los Angeles

Pro Tour • March 21-24, 2024 • dropped • 2-2

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matt Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.54
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Win	✗	0.72	1.83

Calling: Las Vegas

Calling • August 26-27, 2023 • dropped • 3-4

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adrian Walker (Katsu, the Wanderer)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Emery Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Ward (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Carter Barton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Uzuri, Switchblade)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.53
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

United States National Championship

National Championship • August 25-27, 2023 • dropped • 2-2

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Columbia (Unknown)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Lexi, Livewire)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Williamson (Briar, Warden of Thorns)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Ferguson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.92
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Katsu, the Wanderer	3	0	100%	3
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	2	1	67%	3
Dromai, Ash Artist	1	1	50%	2
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	1	1	50%	2
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	1	50%	2
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	0	1	0%	1
Briar, Warden of Thorns	1	0	100%	1
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	1	0	100%	1
Lexi, Livewire	0	1	0%	1
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	1	0	100%	1
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	0	1	0%	1
Unknown	0	1	0%	1
Uzuri, Switchblade	0	1	0%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	0	1	0%	1
Viserai, Rune Blood	1	0	100%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	0	1	0%	1