Louis Caubet — Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

5-4

Record

55.6%

Win %

Events

Rounds

56%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.6

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs enzo costa (Aurora, Shooting Star)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Enes Findik (Aurora, Shooting Star)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Hannu Pentinpuro (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Marco Lauria (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.05
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.26
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.57
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Win	✗	0.72	1.43
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Aurora, Shooting Star	1	1	50%	2
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	1	1	50%	2
Betsy, Skin in the Game	1	0	100%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	0	1	0%	1
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	0	1	0%	1
Nuu, Alluring Desire	1	0	100%	1
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	1	0	100%	1