Michael Keating — Dromai, Ash Artist

Michael Keating

Dromai, Ash Artist · Classic Constructed

9-8

Record

52.9%

Win %

Events

Rounds

82%

Meta

+0.0

Perf Δ

8.2

Surprise

4.7

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Battle Hardened: Hartford

Battle Hardened • February 2-4, 2024 • dropped • 4-3

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs William Pistel (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Chapman (Dorinthea Ironsong)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Heger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Fay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jeffrey White (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.25
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.18
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.96
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Calling: Las Vegas

Calling • August 26-27, 2023 • dropped • 3-3

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs George Dilling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Chang (Dorinthea Ironsong)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bryant Siders (Bravo, Showstopper)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Lexi, Livewire)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Steffanie Olson (Lexi, Livewire)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Riddell (Lexi, Livewire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.12
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.82
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

United States National Championship

National Championship • August 25-27, 2023 • dropped • 2-2

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Randy Wood (Lexi, Livewire)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Peter Zsiga (Viserai, Rune Blood)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dave Lin (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thrad Weibley (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Lexi, Livewire	2	2	50%	4
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	2	0	100%	2
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	1	50%	2
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	1	1	50%	2
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	1	1	50%	2
Bravo, Showstopper	0	1	0%	1
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	0	1	0%	1
Dromai, Ash Artist	0	1	0%	1
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	1	0	100%	1
Viserai, Rune Blood	1	0	100%	1