Jakub Nowicki — Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Jakub Nowicki

Azalea, Ace in the Hole · Classic Constructed

25-21-1

Record

53.2%

Win %

Events

Rounds

77%

Meta

+1.7

Perf Δ

23.1

Surprise

13.9

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 Ireland National Championship Ireland '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

National Championship 2025 - Ireland

National Championship • July 5th, 2025 • 5th • 3-1

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Connor McLaughlin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cameron Hindes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Russell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Porter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.97
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Calling: London

Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 3-3

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Bertrand (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jurica Fejer (Jarl Vetreiði)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nico Grieco (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ewan Dajnak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Javier Kenyon-Reyero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.36
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.78
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Calling: Osaka

Calling • November 2-3, 2024 • dropped • 2-3

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryo Onishi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zac Doke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.63
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Calling: Lyon

Calling • September 28-29, 2024 • 56th • 8-4

75%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Guillaume Pastor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maxence Gobert (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Steve Andrew (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Rosenberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Hulys Zimmermann (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Geoffrey Donneger (Aurora, Shooting Star)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.08
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.60
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.97
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.16

Calling: Amsterdam

Calling • July 26-28, 2024 • dropped • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Morris Prem (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Unknown)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marc Germond (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Yael Belder (Unknown)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.87
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Pro Tour Amsterdam 2024

Pro Tour • July 26-28, 2024 • dropped • 1-3

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jose Alves (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

World Championship: Barcelona

World Championship • November 17-19, 2023 • dropped • 2-2

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Unknown)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Calling: Birmingham 2023

Calling • July 29-30, 2023 • dropped • 3-3

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dean Alldread (Viserai, Rune Blood)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jamie Costello (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jack Mountford (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Dromai, Ash Artist)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.38
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	D	Win%	Matches
Unknown	4	2	1	57%	7
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	2	1	0	67%	3
Fai, Rising Rebellion	3	0	0	100%	3
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	1	2	0	33%	3
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	2	1	0	67%	3
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	0	3	0	0%	3
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	1	1	0	50%	2
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	1	1	0	50%	2
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	1	1	0	50%	2
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	1	1	0	50%	2
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	0	2	0	0%	2
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	1	0	50%	2
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	1	1	0	50%	2
Aurora, Shooting Star	1	0	0	100%	1
Bravo, Showstopper	1	0	0	100%	1
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	0	0	100%	1
Dromai, Ash Artist	0	1	0	0%	1
Fang, Dracai of Blades	0	1	0	0%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	0	100%	1
Jarl Vetreiði	1	0	0	100%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	0	0	100%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	1	0	0	100%	1
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	0	1	0	0%	1
Viserai, Rune Blood	0	1	0	0%	1