Sadat Minick — Aurora, Shooting Star

Sadat Minick

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed

18-9

Record

66.7%

Win %

Events

Rounds

96%

Meta

+3.2

Perf Δ

12.8

Surprise

8.1

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

SAT 0900 Battle Hardened (CC) - SCG CON Portland

Battle Hardened • February 8, 2025 • 22nd • 5-2

86%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs jordan johnson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dexter Canright (Viserai, Rune Blood)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mystyq Gem Pulmano (Aurora, Shooting Star)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs sean Burke (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Timothy Wang (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.66
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed

Calling • November 23-24, 2024 • 14th • 9-3

100%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

5.6

Surp

4.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Nichols (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rob Linn (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kristian Perez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Betsy COCHRAN (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Viserai, Rune Blood)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.08
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.19
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.69
R11	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Calling: Osaka

Calling • November 2-3, 2024 • dropped • 1-2

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Aurora, Shooting Star)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Louis Tsoi (Viserai, Rune Blood)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kuan Li (Viserai, Rune Blood)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.57
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

World Championship: Osaka

World Championship • November 1-3, 2024 • dropped • 3-2

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shane Martin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.28
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Viserai, Rune Blood	5	2	71%	7
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	3	1	75%	4
Aurora, Shooting Star	2	1	67%	3
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	2	1	67%	3
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	3	0	100%	3
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	2	0	100%	2
Nuu, Alluring Desire	0	2	0%	2
Fang, Dracai of Blades	0	1	0%	1
Jarl Vetreiði	0	1	0%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	0	100%	1