masataka shibata — Aurora, Shooting Star

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
4-3
Record
57.1%
Win %
1
Events
7
Rounds
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • March 15-16, 2025 • dropped • 4-3
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
Round 5: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dorinthea Ironsong | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Fang, Dracai of Blades | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Prism, Awakener of Sol | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 | |
Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |