Kazuhiro Watanabe

Azalea, Ace in the Hole · Classic Constructed

10-16

Record

38.5%

Win %

Events

Rounds

54%

Meta

-2.2

Perf Δ

12.2

Surprise

5.8

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

National Championship 2025 - Japan

National Championship • July 5th-6th, 2025 • 58th • 4-8

67%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

5.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 祥弘橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiki Higa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs TOMOKI KAJIWARA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.15
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.97
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Calling: Kobe 2025

Calling • March 15-16, 2025 • dropped • 3-4

43%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mitsuki Sakata (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Aurora, Shooting Star)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs syun suzuki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.23
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.59
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.59
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Calling: Osaka

Calling • November 2-3, 2024 • dropped • 3-4

43%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Marengo (Uzuri, Switchblade)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daichi Fujita (Aurora, Shooting Star)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs John Wardan (Dorinthea Ironsong)

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 康平松本 (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Taotao Chu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs David Yau (Dash I/O)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.71
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	2	33%	3
Aurora, Shooting Star	1	1	50%	2
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	1	1	50%	2
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	1	1	50%	2
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	1	50%	2
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	0	2	0%	2
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	0	1	0%	1
Arakni, Marionette	0	1	0%	1
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	0	100%	1
Dash I/O	0	1	0%	1
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	1	0	100%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	0	1	0%	1
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	0	1	0%	1
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	1	0	100%	1
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	1	0	100%	1
Unknown	1	0	100%	1
Uzuri, Switchblade	0	1	0%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	0	1	0%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	0	1	0%	1