Taiki Koike — Aurora, Shooting Star
Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
8-10
Record
44.4%
Win %
3
Events
18
Rounds
94%
Meta
-1.6
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Battle Hardened • March 16, 2025 • dropped • 2-2
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mason Galvan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
Calling • March 15-16, 2025 • dropped • 2-5
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs YAT TUNG (Aurora, Shooting Star)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs jiazhou 吳 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Koruri Takahashi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
Round 7: Loss vs Frank Hung (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
Calling • November 2-3, 2024 • dropped • 4-3
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Dorinthea Ironsong)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Soya Okuda (Viserai, Rune Blood)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clinton Ng (Viserai, Rune Blood)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 2 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 4 |
| Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 3 |
| Dorinthea Ironsong | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Nuu, Alluring Desire | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Viserai, Rune Blood | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |