Andrea Mengucci — Aurora, Shooting Star

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
17-5
Record
77.3%
Win %
2
Events
22
Rounds
100%
Meta
+4.8
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • 2nd • 15-2
100%
Meta
+5.8
Perf
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R16 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R17 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 2-3
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aurora, Shooting Star | 6 | 1 | 0 | 86% | 7 |
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 6 | 1 | 0 | 86% | 7 |
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 3 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 4 |
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Kano, Dracai of Aether | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Nuu, Alluring Desire | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |