Chad Burden — Katsu, the Wanderer

Chad Burden

Katsu, the Wanderer · Classic Constructed

6-6

Record

50.0%

Win %

Events

Rounds

58%

Meta

+0.5

Perf Δ

5.6

Surprise

3.8

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

United States National Championship 2024

National Championship • June 14-16, 2024 • dropped • 1-3

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Corey Baker (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joe Mastowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.45
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

United States National Championship

National Championship • August 25-27, 2023 • dropped • 3-1

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Canales (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alex Espinoza (Bravo, Showstopper)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Braden Phillips (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R2	CC	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.95
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Pro Tour: Baltimore

Pro Tour • April 28-30, 2023 • dropped • 2-2

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Philip Parker (Iyslander, Stormbind)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Bonde (Lexi, Livewire)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Olivier Vallerand Beaudry (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.28
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	2	0	100%	2
Kano, Dracai of Aether	0	2	0%	2
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	1	1	50%	2
Bravo, Showstopper	1	0	100%	1
Iyslander, Stormbind	1	0	100%	1
Levia	0	1	0%	1
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	1	0	100%	1
Lexi, Livewire	0	1	0%	1
Nuu, Alluring Desire	0	1	0%	1