Marc Mehlenbacher — Arakni, Marionette
Arakni, Marionette · Classic Constructed
5-8
Record
38.5%
Win %
3
Events
13
Rounds
77%
Meta
-2.1
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Pro Tour • July 17th-19th, 2026 • dropped • 2-3
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trent Williams (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Kassai of the Golden Sand)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
National Championship • June 12th-14th, 2026 • dropped • 3-2
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hayden Porter (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash I/O)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Jarl Vetreiði)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Derek Anderson (Dash I/O)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
Calling • February 28th - March 1st, 2026 • dropped • 0-3
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dalia Morin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
Round 2: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dash I/O | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Kassai of the Golden Sand | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Jarl Vetreiði | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |