Mercy Bickell — Aurora, Shooting Star
Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
21-12
Record
63.6%
Win %
4
Events
33
Rounds
94%
Meta
+3.1
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • 85th • 4-5
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Horne (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round 5: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Battle Hardened • March 8, 2025 • dropped • 3-2
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jarik Bowen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Walter Snowden (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason Brantley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raymond Griffin (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Smitte (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
Calling • November 23-24, 2024 • dropped • 4-3
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Stephenson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carson Osborne (Viserai, Rune Blood)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
World Championship • November 1-3, 2024 • 2nd • 10-2
100%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs shirui wu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yuanji Li (Viserai, Rune Blood)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Alex Chițu (Viserai, Rune Blood)
55:45
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs valentin mackl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
50:50
R17 CC
Round 17: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O)
55:45
R18 CC
Round 18: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R16 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R17 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R18 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 5 | 3 | 0 | 62% | 8 |
| Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 1 | 4 | 0 | 20% | 5 |
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
| Nuu, Alluring Desire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Viserai, Rune Blood | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
| Dash I/O | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Fang, Dracai of Blades | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |