Christopher Dietz

Azalea, Ace in the Hole · Classic Constructed

18-18

Record

50.0%

Win %

Events

Rounds

72%

Meta

-0.0

Perf Δ

17.3

Surprise

9.7

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Battle Hardened: Las Vegas 2025

Battle Hardened • June 8th, 2025 • dropped • 2-2

25%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Chapman (Dorinthea Ironsong)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jake Torres (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.36
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

US National Championship 2025

National Championship • June 6th-8th, 2025 • dropped • 3-2

80%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Dschaak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.71
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.39
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Calling: Minneapolis

Calling • June 15-16, 2024 • dropped • 3-4

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Long Lam (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joseph Freeh (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andy Portillo (Unknown)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dustin Chambers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.72
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

United States National Championship 2024

National Championship • June 14-16, 2024 • dropped • 2-2

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zoey Gerstner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yongji Yang (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.22
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.13

Calling: Los Angeles

Calling • March 21-24, 2024 • dropped • 5-3

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Bravo, Showstopper)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dietrich Goodwin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wesley Cole (Katsu, the Wanderer)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Anastasia Benner (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.85
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Pro Tour: Los Angeles

Pro Tour • March 21-24, 2024 • dropped • 2-2

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rob Cygul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pro Tour: Baltimore

Pro Tour • April 28-30, 2023 • dropped • 1-3

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Julian (Lexi, Livewire)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Katsu, the Wanderer)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Lexi, Livewire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	3	1	75%	4
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	0	3	0%	3
Katsu, the Wanderer	2	1	67%	3
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	1	2	33%	3
Kassai of the Golden Sand	2	0	100%	2
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	0	2	0%	2
Lexi, Livewire	1	1	50%	2
Nuu, Alluring Desire	1	1	50%	2
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	2	0	100%	2
Arakni, Marionette	0	1	0%	1
Bravo, Showstopper	0	1	0%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	0	100%	1
Dromai, Ash Artist	0	1	0%	1
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	0	1	0%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	0	1	0%	1
Fang, Dracai of Blades	0	1	0%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	1	0	100%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	0	100%	1
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	1	0	100%	1
Unknown	1	0	100%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	0	1	0%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	0	100%	1