Aaron Moore — Fai, Rising Rebellion

Aaron Moore

Fai, Rising Rebellion · Classic Constructed

11-12

Record

47.8%

Win %

Events

Rounds

35%

Meta

+0.4

Perf Δ

11.1

Surprise

6.2

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Las Vegas 2026

Calling • July 18th-19th, 2026 • 67th • 8-5

46%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

6.2

Surp

3.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs nathan lapham (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brooks Mitchell (Zyggy Starlight)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Luke Putz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs james Hoenstine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði)

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði)

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

R13

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.06
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.36
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.33
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.35
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.58
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.00
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R12	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R13	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026

Pro Tour • July 17th-19th, 2026 • dropped • 2-3

20%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Dash I/O)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.65
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Pro Tour: London

Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 1-4

20%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rokas Pocius (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Julia De Biasi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.41
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Jarl Vetreiði	1	3	25%	4
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	3	1	75%	4
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	0	2	0%	2
Arakni, Marionette	0	1	0%	1
Betsy, Skin in the Game	1	0	100%	1
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	0	100%	1
Dash I/O	0	1	0%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	0	100%	1
Fang, Dracai of Blades	0	1	0%	1
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	1	0	100%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	0	1	0%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	0	1	0%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Unknown	1	0	100%	1
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	0	1	0%	1
Zyggy Starlight	1	0	100%	1