Aaron Cutbirth — Dash I/O

Aaron Cutbirth

Dash I/O · Classic Constructed

17-17

Record

50.0%

Win %

Events

Rounds

59%

Meta

+0.1

Perf Δ

16.5

Surprise

8.0

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Singapore 2025

Calling • July 19th-20th, 2025 • dropped • 4-4

62%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs jiasu chen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Looi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.54
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.90
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pro Tour: Singapore 2025

Pro Tour • July 18-20, 2025 • dropped • 1-4

60%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oscar Vargas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Colin Tang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.18
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

US National Championship 2025

National Championship • June 6th-8th, 2025 • dropped • 2-3

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Puffin, Hightail)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Wells (Dorinthea Ironsong)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Carlos Rosario (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.46
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Battle Hardened: Memphis 2025

Battle Hardened • February 2, 2025 • dropped • 1-3

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Ford (Uzuri, Switchblade)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jenan Wise (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-

Calling: Memphis 2025 [A] Classic Constructed

Calling • January 31-February 1, 2025 • 14th • 9-3

58%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

5.9

Surp

4.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Casey Walker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hayden Farrar (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Dorinthea Ironsong)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star)

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mark lewis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jordan Long (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Timothy Long (Viserai, Rune Blood)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.09
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.13
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.29
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.41
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.77
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.29
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.55
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.71
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	2	2	50%	4
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	2	1	67%	3
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	2	1	67%	3
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	0	3	0%	3
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	1	50%	2
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	1	50%	2
Nuu, Alluring Desire	1	1	50%	2
Prism, Awakener of Sol	0	2	0%	2
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	1	1	50%	2
Viserai, Rune Blood	2	0	100%	2
Aurora, Shooting Star	1	0	100%	1
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	0	1	0%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	0	1	0%	1
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	1	0	100%	1
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	1	0	100%	1
Puffin, Hightail	0	1	0%	1
Uzuri, Switchblade	0	1	0%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	0	100%	1
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	1	0	100%	1