Sebastiaan Knetsch

Azalea, Ace in the Hole · Classic Constructed

17-10

Record

63.0%

Win %

Events

Rounds

74%

Meta

+3.3

Perf Δ

12.2

Surprise

8.2

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 Netherlands National Championship Netherlands '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

National Championship 2025 - Netherlands

National Championship • June 28st, 2025 • 5th • 5-2

86%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Beau Franz (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jeroen van der Wal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.71
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.01
R10	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Calling: London

Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 2-3

40%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Osama MacDonald (Aurora, Shooting Star)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Connor O'Sullivan (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.82
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Battle Hardened: Eindhoven

Battle Hardened • March 23, 2025 • dropped • 2-1

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.28
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.09
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Calling: Lyon

Calling • September 28-29, 2024 • 37th • 8-4

83%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

5.6

Surp

3.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maurice Philip (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs FREDERIC MOUTARDIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Robert Szary (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs simon diaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mario Donoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Samuele Costantini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.08
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.24
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.56
R9	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.69
R11	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.76
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	3	25%	4
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	3	0	100%	3
Kano, Dracai of Aether	3	0	100%	3
Aurora, Shooting Star	1	1	50%	2
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	2	0	100%	2
Dash I/O	1	1	50%	2
Fang, Dracai of Blades	1	1	50%	2
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	0	1	0%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	0	1	0%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	0	1	0%	1
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	1	0	100%	1
Nuu, Alluring Desire	0	1	0%	1
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	1	0	100%	1
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	1	0	100%	1
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	0	100%	1
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	1	0	100%	1