Tommy Buljan — Aurora, Shooting Star

Tommy Buljan

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed

21-10

Record

67.7%

Win %

Events

Rounds

94%

Meta

+4.3

Perf Δ

15.4

Surprise

9.0

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Battle Hardened: Memphis 2025

Battle Hardened • February 2, 2025 • 15th • 5-2

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Arakni, Marionette)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.13
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.58

Calling: Memphis 2025 [A] Classic Constructed

Calling • January 31-February 1, 2025 • 41st • 7-5

92%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

6.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs William Pistel (Viserai, Rune Blood)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Stamenkovich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mark lewis (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Nennich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jordan Long (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.57
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.64
R9	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R10	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R11	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed

Calling • November 23-24, 2024 • 15th • 9-3

92%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

5.8

Surp

4.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ayden Dukeshier (Unknown)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs William Garcia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cole Noblitt (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood)

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Colt Hailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Matthew Allan (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jacob Neet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.41
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R9	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Aurora, Shooting Star	4	1	80%	5
Viserai, Rune Blood	2	2	50%	4
Nuu, Alluring Desire	3	0	100%	3
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	3	0	100%	3
Arakni, Marionette	2	0	100%	2
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	2	0	100%	2
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	0	2	0%	2
Kano, Dracai of Aether	0	2	0%	2
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	0	1	0%	1
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	0	1	0%	1
Dash I/O	0	1	0%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	1	0	100%	1
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	1	0	100%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Unknown	1	0	100%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	0	100%	1