Bryce Henschel — Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn — FaB-Results

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn · Classic Constructed

19-19

Record

50.0%

Win %

5

Events

38

Rounds

34%

Meta

+3.4

Perf Δ

17.0

Surprise

12.8

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

US National Championship 2026

National Championship • June 12th-14th, 2026 • 85th • 4-5

33%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.3

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Fox (Arakni, Marionette)

Dash I/O

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Dash I/O)

Valda, Seismic Impact

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Fay (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Arakni, Huntsman

R15

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Kindreck Hegsted (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.31
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.20
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.63	2.26
R15	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Battle Hardened: Minneapolis

Battle Hardened • June 16, 2024 • 22nd • 6-3

11%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.4

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Evan Ford (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Arakni, Huntsman

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Seth Comstock (Arakni, Huntsman)

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.21
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.16
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.66
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.62
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.28
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Pro Tour: Los Angeles

Pro Tour • March 21-24, 2024 • 114th • 3-5

62%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

Katsu, the Wanderer

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Katsu, the Wanderer)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eli Teed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Viserai, Rune Blood)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.24
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.19
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R13	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R14	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Calling: Las Vegas

Calling • August 26-27, 2023 • dropped • 5-3

38%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kelly Angell (Unknown)

Katsu, the Wanderer

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Leavitt (Katsu, the Wanderer)

Lexi, Livewire

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Lexi, Livewire)

Dromai, Ash Artist

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Virgil Toms (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Iyslander, Stormbind

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Iyslander, Stormbind)

Bravo, Showstopper

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lane MacTavish (Bravo, Showstopper)

Lexi, Livewire

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ian Smith (Lexi, Livewire)

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jacob Reid (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.93
R5	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.64
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R8	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

United States National Championship

National Championship • August 25-27, 2023 • dropped • 1-3

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

Iyslander, Stormbind

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Iyslander, Stormbind)

Dorinthea Ironsong

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Phil Hensley (Dorinthea Ironsong)

Bravo, Showstopper

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Brown (Bravo, Showstopper)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wyatt Leasure (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.64
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	D	Win%	Matches
Arakni, Marionette	1	3	0	25%	4
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	2	1	0	67%	3
Arakni, Huntsman	1	1	0	50%	2
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	1	1	0	50%	2
Bravo, Showstopper	2	0	0	100%	2
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	1	1	0	50%	2
Iyslander, Stormbind	0	2	0	0%	2
Katsu, the Wanderer	1	1	0	50%	2
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	1	1	0	50%	2
Lexi, Livewire	0	2	0	0%	2
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	2	0	0	100%	2
Viserai, Rune Blood	0	2	0	0%	2
Dash I/O	0	1	0	0%	1
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	1	0	0	100%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	0	1	0	0%	1
Dromai, Ash Artist	1	0	0	100%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	0	1	0	0%	1
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	1	0	0	100%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	0	1	0	0%	1
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	1	0	0	100%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	0	100%	1
Unknown	1	0	0	100%	1
Valda, Seismic Impact	1	0	0	100%	1