Steven Caraher — Valda, Seismic Impact

Steven Caraher

Valda, Seismic Impact · Classic Constructed

7-10

Record

41.2%

Win %

Events

Rounds

53%

Meta

-0.9

Perf Δ

8.0

Surprise

3.7

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Las Vegas 2026

Calling • July 18th-19th, 2026 • dropped • 2-3

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Luke Snyder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonah Markham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sean Glancy (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.66
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026

Pro Tour • July 17th-19th, 2026 • dropped • 2-3

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.12
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.57
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Calling: Columbus 2026

Calling • January 17th-18th, 2026 • dropped • 3-4

57%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Goetz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David Wadley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.29
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.10
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	2	1	67%	3
Fai, Rising Rebellion	0	3	0%	3
Arakni, Huntsman	0	2	0%	2
Arakni, Marionette	1	1	50%	2
Kassai of the Golden Sand	1	1	50%	2
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	1	1	50%	2
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	1	0	100%	1
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	0	1	0%	1