Natalie Hunt — Dromai, Ash Artist

Natalie Hunt

Dromai, Ash Artist · Classic Constructed

13-11

Record

54.2%

Win %

Events

Rounds

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf Δ

11.2

Surprise

6.7

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Los Angeles

Calling • March 21-24, 2024 • dropped • 5-3

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Dorinthea Ironsong)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hunter Pemberton (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.17
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.40
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.28

Battle Hardened: Hartford

Battle Hardened • February 2-4, 2024 • dropped • 2-2

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chris Rowland (Bravo, Showstopper)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.53	0.27
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

United States National Championship

National Championship • August 25-27, 2023 • 86th • 4-4

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Bravo, Showstopper)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Bravo, Showstopper)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jake Leonard (Lexi, Livewire)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Unknown)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Iyslander, Stormbind)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi, Livewire)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Lexi, Livewire)

75:25

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R11	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.20
R12	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-

Pro Tour: Baltimore

Pro Tour • April 28-30, 2023 • dropped • 2-2

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Zachary Adams (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.25
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Lexi, Livewire	1	3	25%	4
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	1	3	25%	4
Bravo, Showstopper	2	1	67%	3
Dromai, Ash Artist	1	1	50%	2
Kano, Dracai of Aether	2	0	100%	2
Arakni, Huntsman	0	1	0%	1
Briar, Warden of Thorns	1	0	100%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	0	100%	1
Iyslander, Stormbind	1	0	100%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	1	0	100%	1
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	0	1	0%	1
Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	0	1	0%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Unknown	1	0	100%	1