Charlton Smith — Dorinthea Ironsong

Charlton Smith

Dorinthea Ironsong · Classic Constructed

18-16

Record

52.9%

Win %

Events

Rounds

68%

Meta

+0.9

Perf Δ

15.1

Surprise

9.5

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Seattle

Calling • December 13th-14th, 2025 • dropped • 3-4

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Winther (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Elton Zhen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Holly Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.15
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Battle Hardened: Las Vegas 2025

Battle Hardened • June 8th, 2025 • 32nd • 6-3

44%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Caio Felipe Antonangelo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Jarl Vetreiði)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sadat Minick (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ynez Nevarez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.15
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.61
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.24
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.64
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

US National Championship 2025

National Championship • June 6th-8th, 2025 • dropped • 2-3

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joseph Seiwert (Katsu, the Wanderer)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Logan May (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Fisher Johnson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.15
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.80

Battle Hardened: Minneapolis

Battle Hardened • June 16, 2024 • dropped • 2-3

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Randall Sims (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs francisco guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.77	0.85
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.42
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

United States National Championship 2024

National Championship • June 14-16, 2024 • 106th • 5-3

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matt Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Clint Bonds (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.38
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R12	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.96
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.44

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	2	2	50%	4
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	2	2	50%	4
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	2	1	67%	3
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	0	3	0%	3
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	2	0	100%	2
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	1	50%	2
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	2	0	100%	2
Nuu, Alluring Desire	1	1	50%	2
Prism, Awakener of Sol	0	2	0%	2
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	1	0	100%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	0	1	0%	1
Fang, Dracai of Blades	1	0	100%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	0	1	0%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Jarl Vetreiði	0	1	0%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	1	0	100%	1
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	1	0	100%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	1	0	100%	1
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	0	1	0%	1