David M. Smith — Aurora, Shooting Star
Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
2-3
Record
40.0%
Win %
1
Events
5
Rounds
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Battle Hardened • March 8, 2025 • dropped • 2-3
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Paciorek (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
Round 2: Loss vs Eris Schmidt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travis Henning (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Pennybacker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Coppley (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Nuu, Alluring Desire | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |